Commentary on life and all that it contains.

These are commentaries on life as I know it. It can be the quickened, pulsating breath you feel as the roller coaster inches its was over the ride's summit. It can be the calming breeze on the dusk of a warm day, sitting in isolation, reflecting on beauty or loves once had. It, life, can be everything that you will it to be.

Monday, November 10, 2008

Laughin' with Nancy

First comes shock, then awe. I was seriously expecting myself to run through the streets of Berlin, like some Olympic track star, in a complete haze, tears running down my face, chanting “Obama” “Obama” at the top of my lungs. Instead, when I awoke in the middle of the night on Tuesday, I could not stop myself from turning on CNN, where I caught the last few minutes of Obama’s speech. I was relieved, of course. But perhaps more confusing to me was my lack of jubilation as I climbed back into bed and told Chris “Obama hat gewonnen” and we both dozed off, back to dreamland.

Actually, my mood since the election has been some kind of strange disbelief, a non-realization of what has come to pass. I don’t know if it is the dire circumstances that surround the political environment; the pinnacle onto which O. has been thrust does not seem so regal at this trying a time. Perhaps it is simply disbelief that has colored the undercurrent of my mood. One thing is for sure, though, being emotionally overcome this morning for the first time since the election certainly denotes some kind of disconnect between last Tuesday night and today. I must have just needed time to come to believe that I AM awake, and that history HAS taken place, and I was there to witness it all. Cool. Unbelievably cool.

It looks like the mystique of the “Bubba vote” and the “Bradley Effect” were so incredibly disproved. My whinings as well about the incompetence of the American voter, as well, were disproved in one fell swoop. My theory, though, that the “Bubba vote” would be offset, and, ultimately, outweighed by a much more elusive and immeasurable effect (I guess what we can now call the “Obama Effect”) seems to be true.

The “Obama Effect”, my newest theory, is a phenomenon at the other end of the spectrum from the “Bradley Effect”. It describes a portion of the electorate deeply influenced by the injustices of the past, ridden with some form of ‘white guilt’ about how things have hitherto for been for minorities in our country, especially for blacks. These are the kinds of whites with big hearts that would have walked alongside their black brothers and sisters during the Civil Right Movement, the kind of whites who feel a deep empathy within, and have wanted to act on it for some time. These are the kind of whites, like me, who have waited their entire lives, for a black man to burst onto the scene, a well-educated, intelligent, articulate black man, for whom they could cast their vote.

Darkening in the bubble next to Barack’s name was a moment that I will always remember, because, for me, it was an actual action, a defined almost anti-climactic physical manifestation of something within that I have wanted to express for a very long time. I feel that I did my part to give back to my African-American compatriots what my forefathers had stripped away from them—their dignity. Very symbolic, yes, but palpable all the same.

And, what was it that made me laugh and cry simultaneously this morning? What was it that prompted such an outright emotional response? Obama made a minor gaffe in a press conference by referencing Nancy Reagan’s séances in the White House. On the news this morning, they noted that Obama called Nancy to apologize and that it was said that the had a “warm conversation.” Why did this make me cry? Because, I realized that Obama may be just the man to unite our country in a way not yet seen, partly because even Republicans can see in his election a poignant symbolism a partial healing of a deep, old wound. Putting all politics for the moment aside, they will greet him warmly, with the rest of us, as our new president. That is so heart-warming.

I am so interested in what the mood is in America right now. It was also said on the news that things seem notably lighter than before. Is that true?

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5 Comments:

Blogger Ottavina said...

Is the mood lighter, you ask...

Where I am, it depends. There are a few of us who are very hopeful. But the majority of this red town is beyond disappointed - more like distraught, shaken, and very concerned. That is because many of these people see Obama as the anti-christ, or "America's Hitler that will drive us into some awful socialism." (That comes from one of my choir members.) Because of his stance on abortion, stem-cell research, and acceptance of all, the conservatives here are quaking in their boots. And their protest is making life more difficult for the rest of us.

In liberal parts of the country, or more diverse areas of the country? I'm sure the mood is lighter. Strangely, it got heavier than I thought it could, here.

4:45 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Interesting theories, but they may not prove true Josh. Definitive demographics from the 08 race will not be available for some time yet, but preliminary data from Gallup shows that Obama only increased his precentage of the white vote by 1 percentage point over Kerry's take (44% to 45% - Obama still failed to carry a majority of whites - conversely, the black vote broke 99% for Obama vs 93% for Kerry). Nor does the "youth" vote appear to be a factor - 60% for Kerry in 04 vs 61% for Obama in 08 (among voters aged 18-29). Instead, Obama really scored with all the middle aged folk - 43% Kerry vs 53% Obama (voters aged 30-49), and 48% Kerry vs 54% Obama (voters aged 50-64). But amongst voters 65 and over, Obama was 46% v 52% Kerry. Maybe the "bubba vote" has gone "geezer".

With regard to mood, my perception is a bit different than Ottavina's. First, some full disclosure -

1). I'm a Republican
2). I have no problem with people owning guns (own one myself).
2a). I love classical music, but can't stand opera!!!!
3). I think people ought to be able to marry anyone that they want.
4). I think women are absolutely sovereign with regards to their bodies.
5). I believe that religion (or complete lack thereof for that matter) is a matter of personal conscience and not a matter of public policy or debate.
6). I do not fear or distrust government, I only insist that it be cost-effective and transparently accountable.
7). I live in a rural township in central Ohio with 1537 registered voters - most of them registered Republicans or conservative-leaning independents.
8). I donated money to the Obama campaign, campaigned for him in township meetings, and voted for him.

Around here (that "back-woods" bumpkin like area that you despise Josh), I sense the mood to be a blend of disappointment and resignation (the township went 6 to 1 for McCain and I have deluded myself into thinking it would have been 10-1 but for my heroic efforts), and yet honestly hopeful that this new President will succeed, and that we will all be better off for it. I also think there is also a general sense of recognition, leavened with a twinge of awe, that Obama's election has marked a "turning of the page" in this country's social history .... for the better.

As a twist to your question Josh, I have been a very puzzled by all of the overseas interest and euphoric reaction to Obama's victory. It would seem to me that a national election should be largely a parochial matter and interest. I don't see the French getting all wound up about elections in Norway. Yet, why the intense European fascination and interest in this one, and what do you think that says about Europeans (recognizing that's a very broad label). Is it that old "love/hate" thing about America?

11:56 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Posted as a follow-up to my previous post by the "Republican who Supported Obama"...From the AP

Most in AP poll confident Obama will fix economy

Published - Nov 11 2008 04:46PM EST | AP

In one of the economy's darkest hours in decades, it looks as if people are taking Barack Obama up on his exhortations for hope and change. Seven in 10, or 72 percent, voice confidence the president-elect will make the changes needed to revive the stalling economy, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll released Tuesday.

Underscoring how widely the public is counting on its new leader, 44 percent of Republicans joined nearly all Democrats and most independents in expressing that belief.

The poll shows trust in Obama's ability to succeed is even broader, at least for now. Sixty-eight percent said they think when he takes office in January, the new president will be able to enact the policies he pushed during his presidential campaign.


"I don't think one person, the president or otherwise, can fix the problems," said Ryan Anderson, 31, a Democrat from Bloomington, Minn. "But I have strong faith that he'll assemble the right group of individuals to address the problems. I think that's going to be a benchmark of Obama's presidency."

People signaled a willingness to wait on one of the keynotes of his agenda - tax cuts. Only 36 percent said they wanted Obama to make income-tax cuts a top priority when he takes office, and even fewer wanted higher taxes on the rich to be a primary goal.

Instead, 84 percent said strengthening the economy and 80 percent named creating jobs as top-tier priorities. Democrats were a bit likelier than Republicans to say each should be a No. 1 goal.

With Obama ending the GOP's eight-year hold on the White House under President Bush and about to become the first black president, the AP-GfK poll showed three quarters saying the election made them feel hopeful, six in 10 proud and half expressing excitement. Newly elected presidents often embark on a honeymoon period in which the public has highly positive feelings about them.

Democrats were far likelier to feel upbeat, yet such feelings were not limited to them. Half of Republicans said they were hopeful, a third proud and nearly a fifth excited about the election results. Another quarter in the GOP said they were depressed.

"I feel let down by the American people that they were so blind to many things I've seen in him," said Shelli Pierson, 38, a Republican from Elmira, Ore. Pierson she doubts Obama, a four-year senator from Illinois, has enough experience for the presidency and said she still questions his patriotism.

Nine in 10 said Obama's race would have no impact on his ability to get things done.

Though Republicans were more negative about the election results, they were consistently more upbeat than Democrats were in 2004 when their candidate, John Kerry, failed to unseat Bush. Forty-four percent of Democrats said they were angry and half said they were depressed in a November 2004 AP-Ipsos poll, double the GOP's rates this year.

Highlighting anew how the Iraq war has faded as a paramount public concern, only half in Tuesday's AP-GfK poll said they wanted Obama to make a U.S. troop withdrawal a top focus.

The survey also spotlighted the enduring partisan split over the war. Two-thirds of Democrats want a troop withdrawal to be a top Obama priority, compared with just three in 10 Republicans.


In a November 2004 poll before the economy crashed, Iraq and terrorism were most mentioned as the issues they wanted Bush to make his top priority. Until the weakening economy overtook Iraq as the No. 1 problem on the public's mind nearly a year ago, Obama's pledge to set a timetable for withdrawing troops from the war was his highest-profile issue.

Six in 10 cited stabilizing financial institutions and reducing budget deficits as top goals in the AP-GfK survey.

Half said they wanted national health care coverage - another Obama priority - to be a No. 1 concern, with few Republicans agreeing it should be a top goal. Permitting offshore oil drilling, a major GOP campaign issue, drew support as a top priority from just over one-third, mostly Republicans.

Nearly three-quarters - including most Democrats - said they'd like Obama to name some Republicans in his Cabinet, as the Democrat has said he would do.

Most also expressed no problem with the lock Democrats will have on Washington beginning next year. Four in 10 said Democratic control of the White House and Congress will be good for the country while another 2 in 10 said it would make no difference.

Thirty-six percent said the country is moving in the right direction, about double the 17 percent who said so in last month's AP-GfK poll. Reflecting the election results, half of Democrats now see things heading the right way - quadruple their number who said so in October.

Bush and Congress remained mired in awful ratings, with 28 percent approving of the job Bush is doing and 21 percent approving of Congress.

The AP-GfK poll was conducted Nov. 6-10 and involved cell and landline telephone interviews with 1,001 adults. It has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

==========================

Josh, I've also heard from very reliable back-channel sources that the Obama administration is not considering any expansion of the TARP program to cover opera companies.....

1:37 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Follow-up to my previous follow-up (the Republican Who Supports Obama) -

VOTERS SAY ‘YES WE CAN’ WITH HIGH HOPES FOR OBAMA, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NATIONAL POLL FINDS; BUT MOST VOTERS SAY HE WON’T CUT TAXES

American voters believe President-elect Barack Obama when he says, “Yes we can,” and say 70 – 11 percent that the economy will get better in Obama’s first term, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today. Even 50 percent of Republicans say things will get better.

Voters also say 56 – 28 percent that Obama will restore public trust in government, and believe 69 – 22 percent that his election will lead to improved race relations, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

But voters say 54 – 34 percent that Obama will not cut taxes for 95 percent of Americans. Their own taxes will go up, 45 percent say, while 15 percent say they will go down and 35 percent say they won’t change.

Obama will be a great president, 28 percent of American voters say, while 34 percent say he will be a good president. Another 14 percent say he will be so-so and 8 percent say he will be a bad president.

“Americans have exceptionally high hopes for President-elect Barack Obama. More than one fourth of Americans think he’ll be a great president and more than a third say he’ll at least be good,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

“But we’re not optimistic that Obama can keep his core campaign promise to cut income taxes for 95 percent of Americans. More than half doubt he'll be able to do it. In the aftermath of electing the nation’s first black President, Americans think race relations are pretty good and that, with Obama in the White House, they’ll get better.”

In an open-ended question, where voters can give any answer, 68 percent of Americans identify the economy, or related issues such as unemployment, as the single most important problem in the nation today. No other issue rises to double digits.

12:45 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I went to an election party Nov. 4th, and although I voted for Obama, I awoke the next morning with a bittersweet feeling shrouding my soul. There is too much work, and there is too little time to do it, to feel euphoria with Obama's election. This country has many serious issues facing it at this critical time for us to feel victorious. The battle is just beginning.

3:00 PM  

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